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About antispiral

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  1. The Californian shift to Democrats is also possibly because of Pete Wilson's anti immigration proposition that passed in 1994 (later declared unconstitutional) and basically politically mobilized the hell out of the Hispanic demographic in California for the next decade+. Although tbh, I believe the state in general, whites, latinos, and other minorities alike, have been moving toward the Dem party. They've gotten stronger in the state level, and have retained their overwhelmingly state legislature lead despite a new bipartisan redistricting commission for 2011+.
  2. Helmut Norpoth was my professor and while he was a really nice guy, his model is pretty garbage. Relying on primaries to forecast the general election is a fool's game, and the fact that he is relying on retroactively fitted data to improve the prediction rate of his model is laughable. It's simply pretty poor science to make your model and proclaim its effectiveness based on years of history that you had the benefit of referring to when creating your model. Since his model has been published since 1996, he actually has a five election sample size, and one of his samples was actually wrong-- he predicted Gore in 2000, and he is hinging his "correct prediction" of 2000 on a technicality, since Gore won the popular vote. Here is his 2001 paper on what he got wrong. He's been making the rounds on Fox, The Hill, Reddit, etc. promoting his stuff, and I can't say that I blame him for cashing in. But there's really no reason to put that much faith in him or his model-- it's just not very good. For more of a giggle, here's him shitting on polling. He builds up strawmen about Dewey Defeats Truman and the National Exit Poll in 2004, when they're not too relevant to polling in the modern day. (Dewey v. Truman happened because polling methodology was much less mature and utilized quota sampling instead of random sampling and exit polling is very much a different beast from telephone polling).
  3.     Well, I mean, when CR provides the best subs around (generally), I'm happy when a series is picked up by CR and then ripped by HorribleSubs. And it's not like other subbers don't exist and work on non-CR series-- they just don't feel like wasting manpower when CR does it, because CR releases will tend to be more popular than theirs.
  4. im gonna explode
  5.   yay my first legend.
  6. were your last two cards flamestrike lol
  7. this is some nintendo friend code shit
  8. kagami needs to open the door in order to achieve circle-less transmutations.
  9. its stats are in a great place. kills almost every other 4 drop in the game (other than pit lord, water ele, emerald drake, and the shitty high health ones). effect isn't mind bogglingly bad.     good card.     blood knight is better because you might be able to utilize its effect without your opponent playing into it. and the effect itself is more reliable because it isn't random.
  10. this motherfucker.   but i mean, he doesn't really owe us anything i guess. just a bummer, but i can't really fault him for wanting to fuck his wife/game for days/relax.   btw, it seems like it's coming back june 2. looking forward to it.
  11. yeah i don't expect that image to be real.    if it is, i quit.
  12.   blizzard is trying to be conservative with card change.  since open beta, they've only fixed stuff they felt was extremely detrimental to the meta (tink/pagle and uth). i guess they feel miracle rogue isn't that bad right now.    i wouldn't be surprised if they did something to it next patch, but who knows?         btw, i think lorewalker cho is an extremely fun card. if you're thinking just competitive, it's auto-dust (for other cards), but cho mirrors are some of the funniest things in existence, so i like to keep it around.
  13.   and he's been such a bitch post firing. blaming his assistant coaches and whining left and right. 
  14. been mighty inactive...   but yeah, this season is shaping up to be pretty good.   the brewers are great this year, tanaka is amazing, another darvish near no-hitter, tulo being absolutely retarded, abreu hitting dingers left and right, etc.   so many crazy storylines tbh.
  15. as long as the pitching holds up, we'll be fine. sabathia/kuroda/tanaka/nova/pineda should hold up, as long as sabathia improves upon last season.