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+Necro Moderoid
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Everything posted by Urthor

  1. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    Utd can't compete at the top until they get a 2nd world class midfielder, and maybe 2 fullbacks, and honestly there isn't any to be found in world football for love or money, even if United throw the piggy bank out there's nobody really available.
  2. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    The fact there isn't even a shitty "The Sun" link between United and a decent defender, even for summer transfer, makes you wonder if all of De Gea's efforts are even worth it. Like hopefully he doesn't want to leave this summer, if he wants to leave on a free in 2020 good on him he deserves the massive wages a free transfer will get him.
  3. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    City are not that much better relatively speaking than the United/Arsenal teams at the turn of the century, people forget just how stacked those teams were because there were far fewer big clubs competing for talent. City are better only in the sense that the on field standard has risen as money and professionalism ratcheted up, so in an absolute sense they are better, but not exactly the best standard overall compared to the continent.
  4. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    Definitely seems to be a massive must win the league silo mentality. Ofc they are in a brilliant position to do just that and statistically leading at Christmas makes it almost assuredly likely that they close it out, but the pressure is clearly ratcheting up massively on Liverpool, they HAVE to do it otherwise the entire project explodes. Liverpool will probably drop points to a side that isn't top 6 at some point, it's just likely, but Brighton doesn't seem more likely than any other opportunity
  5. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    FA Cup is extremely relevant in that it's a knockout football comp and it's supposed to be a measure of a team's ability to play knockout football. Especially in an era before the Champions League etc etc etc it was the avenue where you proved yourself in knockout football, and it remains extremely relevant in that sense under the idea that sides may still be a lot better at knockout football and turning up to a big game than they are at the 38 week grind. I wish there was a way for it to be taken more seriously because I like the philosophical idea of what knockout football represents. Also that the November internationals got the axe and there was a proper winter break instead. Unfortunately it exists in a football world where really players play an obnoxious amount of games that is basically unhealthy for them. The stories you hear about "this youth player was really good but he got injured because he playing two games a week is physically ridiculous for a developing body" is crazy. Being good at professional football is as much about being gifted the constitution and health work to not be injured while running a half marathon or more across a two game week as it is to being good.
  6. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    Like let's call a spade a spade, Klopp basically throws the FA cup every year and doesn't give the slightest shit, and Liverpool is the only club in the top 6 that does this. Probably a fair enough move but there's no other possible excuse, Klopp played maybe the best back 4 he had available but he didn't play close to the best side he could have
  7. Net deck a deck, go onto Duelingbook and draw into opening hands and play out turn 1s to play through the combos and read the cards and try to teach yourself to follow the rules and how all the rules changes actually work. The amount of actual rulings that have changed in that time has been pretty ridiculous, no summon Chaos Sorceror auto remove a monster for example, so there is a lot to catch up on.
  8. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    Paying out an employment contract isn't necessarily legal in all cases. If that was true clubs could just pay out 4 years of a player's wages whenever in order to get a transfer. Realistically this never happens. The details of Poch's contract are something I would only trust when his agent leaks it to the Times or the Telegraph, as commonly happens, and not before. Until then Poch's 5 year expensive contract is a black box that can't be opened, and nobody can predict the contents
  9. Barclays Premier League 2018/19

    I think the idea United get Pochettino without being bent over by Daniel Levy is idealistic at best. At worst Levy just doesn't let Poch leave
  10. What games are you currently playing?

    Deadfire is equally as good as Original Sin 2 but I would not play it on a tablet. Divinity is turn based, Deadfire is real time with pause, and it's super important you understand how the armor classes works in the game to actually win at it. Also start on hard difficulty because normal is absurdly easy. It's an RPG and an extremely good one not much else to say.
  11. What Anime Are You Watching Right Now?

    It better be Kyouma!
  12. What games are you currently playing?

    Crosscode is a late entrant for game of the year for me, of all the 2D platformer style games it's by FAR the best Pillars of Eternity Deadfire is also amazing now it's up to patch 4.0, pretty much silky smooth.
  13. Investments

    There are plenty of revenue returning assets that are not vulnerable to a rise in interest rates or a run on the stock market because of a perceived price to earnings overvaluing. Aka the bond market. Aka literally any other asset than the stock market Finance 101
  14. It seems completely crazy to cut off a friendship with him just because of his wife. If worst just comes to worse like, be his friend, avoid all social engagements with the wife ever, and if that massively reduces your time with the dude so be it, but you are not "done forever" because of this woman who you may or may not meet socially. If he is inseparable with her and takes her everywhere alright, I guess you can't see him that often, but guy friendships are still real friendships even if you hang out *once every two years*. It's just part of being a dude when you see someone you haven't contacted for 10 years and you act like best buddies. I think that's the absolute worst case scenario. I think the idea that you intentionally blow up your friendship and make him hate your guts because you want to keep his marriage together because his wife hates you because you want him to be with his child is a completely crazy thing you should absolutely never do because it will change nothing about his marriage, at all. If the woman hates you just don't be in the same room as the woman, ever, and let his family life play out.
  15. Can't agree more with the first page. There's also legitimately probably some sick Europeans and Japanese guys who don't make these lists that nobody knows about so yeah. Discussion on EU community and the OCG community vs just the NA community is way too hard. I think the tl;dr is that it's very hard to crown the absolute greatest ever and nobody should even try. I am pretty sure when there are a number of repeat worlds attendees who don't get mentioned or discussed and it's only old names from Metacritic.com who are even mentioned we should just give up and not pretend we have a true global vision of the Yugioh community.
  16. GoatFormat.com

  17. The best way to play budget TCGs is to build a MTG or Yugioh cube, but yeah card games are literally just a money sink avoid at all costs because MTG business model is aids. Just play Assassin's creed or Red dead redemption.
  18. Just did Siwski and Budgeted, if anyone else has been unfairly deprived of their deserved 100 rep points please tell me and I'll boost you. Generally speaking I quit YGO because I was sick of the TCG grind, I wouldn't go to any other TCG except one that is dramatically different from YGO like Gwent or DBZ tbh. Just had enough of 50/50 card games in general and the DN grind, by the end I loved building decks, esp side decks, because years of practice at that point but I wasn't playing them out. Gwent is good, avoid Cancerstone.
  19. RAM ADVICE please

    Well I've never edited a 4K video in my life, but I asked people in the know about the whole 4K video editing ram thing and their answer was "all of it" and they decidedly recommended that 256-512gb of RAM in a Xeon is a worthwhile investment for a serious 4k video editor. So yeah I would say that 32GB is the answer
  20. CPU advice

    The return are actually great for specifically Ryzen AND Civilization 6 turn times on Intel CPUs. Apparently people who benchmark Civ 6 turn timers do find that it is bottle-necked by RAM clocks and not frequency at the upper limit. This is the only case in the entirety of video gaming though.
  21. It still seems like the default should be that if you have 3 copies of a card you love to draw and there is no externality like tutoring involved, you should be playing 3 copies of the best card. https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/hypergeometric.aspx 5 card hand, 3 copies in deck, 30% chance of getting exactly 1 copy, 3.6% chance of getting more than 1 copy. 6 card hand 5.4% chance of getting more than 1 copy. IMO any argument that "taking three copies is bad" is wrong for cards that are *individually good draws* like the Maxx C vs Effect Veiler setup is completely wrong. Obviously to truly understand this whole system you have to measure the odds your game just in fact ends if you draw doubles next to each other, which is probably impossible except if you are Blizzard or someone else who can perform ridiculously large scale data mining on thousands of human games. The argument that "you don't want to draw two" only makes sense if you automatically lose 100% of those 3.6/5.4% games by drawing doubles, which is probably incorrect. I would guesstimate that drawing doubles probably has a fairly minor impact on your overall win rate for many instances of drawing doubles considering most decks still play a large portion of their deck as "non-combo pieces" and are supposed to be able to function happily if you draw multiples of those non-combo pieces. Obviously though, not all doubles are equal. Drawing 2 maxx going first in a 5 card hand fucking sucks, drawing 2 maxx going second generally rocks. You have to average the win rate out across all your game 1s, and I can definitely see a world where it's game 2 and you KNOW you are going first it's mathematically correct to play 2 Maxx Cs. The thing is you actually have to form a hypothesis and to the math to figure out if that is true or not, which in an ideal world would be running some statistical model on the data of a bunch of DN games to make a confidence interval of what your win rate is if you draw 2 maxx Cs going first. If you actually don't do that math and don't study statistics in college and don't have a bunch of data on your win rates for Maxx C going first, I think the "wow you should play 3 Maxx Cs" shorthand is pretty much the best shortcut when deckbuilding. "Mostly" though, I think that unless you card that you draw doubles in your hand says "if you draw this card next to each other you will lose" you can probably play through it in a lot of cases, and the expected value of playing the 3 of at 3 instead of at 2 and a substitute 40th card in your deck usually outweighs the hit to your win rate in those 3.6/5.4% of cases in which you draw doubles in your opening hand. Improving the quality of the 40th card after all improves your deck across all subsequent turns, whilst the impact of the doubles issue is only felt in the first turn. Anyway this is just my 2 cents, it's not the same as whether you should play for example 3 useless holy shine ball type things, this is about optimal untutored draws like Maxx C or Monster Reborn. The thing that gets me is that when you have the off the wall smart meta calls, they are not built correctly because the person creating the off the wall thing that is the optimal choice for the meta-game, even if it is correct, has made some obvious error or flaw. Objectively good theory like playing the right amount of two ofs and three offs based off the odds of actually drawing doubles of Maxx C can happily coexist with the theory of "wow a hot and spicy meta pick is better than taking standard.deck and hoping you draw well and don't misplay" against a field." There is nothing that says those two things can't get along. Obviously stuff like the difference between playing the third Maxx C and the the first effect veiler as your 40th card probably doesn't impact the win rate a lot. But someone with the right mentality should be spending a cost efficient amount of time making those optimisations from Maxx C to Effect Veiler. Also, the whole Patrick Hoban theory of "don't take the standard deck in take a hot and spicy meta take" is something that only applies to Yugioh in its current form because technical play is not as determinative. In other diverse TCGs and systems where technical play IS the determinative factor, the DBZ TCG that Panini was running that got canned was an example of this, the impact of technical play was *huge* and the metagame didn't devolve into "well I have my windups that I can play optimally you have your windups you can play optimally therefore even if I play 51% better than you a win rate of 60% across 12 rounds of swiss isn't good enough." You have to measure the skill play ceiling of each system and the impact of technical play when you are weighing up your choice. Obviously the hot and spicy pick makes sense if you do in fact have a hot and spicy pick that players aren't prepared for and misplay more vs, or has an innatve advantage, this is 100% true in Yugioh. In other games it is not necessarily true at all, if you can build up a huge win-rate in the mirror match just by hitting a crazy skill ceiling that your opponent's can't it's totally different. Issue is that TCGs and Yugioh and particular ultimately have a very small amount of interactive decisions because there is a smaller number of variables, and the skill gap for controlling those variables isn't as wide. You just don't have that kind of determinative system coming up. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- IMO though my current hot take looking at Yugioh is that the win rate is definitely hugely impacted by playing something that is easy for people to misplay against, and playing for time is obviously the #1 skill for all tournament players and the most important thing which is depressing. The impact of spending a hours practising allowing yourself to stall for EOMP without getting banned by the judges AND how to speed the game and speed your opponent up when you don't want to go into time is by far the most important skill in Yugioh. Frankly it's almost depressing that obviously unsportsmanlike play is clearly rewarded because manipulating the match if going into EOMP favours you is just such a strong strategy.
  22. CPU advice

    Can that even fit inside your case?
  23. CPU advice

    The world has a shortage of Intel processors but that will be alleviated next year when AMD Rome comes out. Reason for the shortage is that AWS Azur Google Alibaba are spending a ridiculously retarded amount of money on servers it's a joke.
  24. CPU advice

    My understanding from following the silicon chat is that based off the Iphone's core, hopes for massive IPC gains on TSMC 7nm are not going to eventuate, probably incremental 4.4/4.5 not "omg 5.5" coming through. And those chips are not expected for ages.