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Joe.

Duelist
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Everything posted by Joe.

  1. Duel Links News - Whats Next

    I think Hey, Trunade made a TON of older cards obsolete (Floodgate, Wall, etc). You can just build one of the Trunade decks. I'm winning 90%+ of games with Trunade Cyber Angels. Granted building that deck was annoying, but other no trap decks (ex. Sylvans) exist.
  2. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Good run there with Gurley at the end. Well deserved. Really the draft pick of the year in MANY leagues. I dodged the Gurley bullet in my other league. Guy that had him lost by ONE yard in the quarters. I dodged that bullet - and was able to reach the finals and split. Couldn't dodge Gurley twice though. Anyway, congrats and well fought!
  3. ACP's Goat Manifesto, ed. MMF

    Speaking of this card - I have a sick Stein deck.
  4. ACP's Goat Manifesto, ed. MMF

    Damn - no love for the best deck. Bazoo is mad.
  5. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I'd drop my whole bench to add kickers right now if this was not being split lol.
  6. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Sure thing. 100 each is fine. I am not defending the TY pick. He was the 5th best PPR WR last year - so assuming Luck was coming back, it isn't as crazy as you might think. Rodgers/Brady went a bit later for sure. I don't think that is egregious though. The Hogan comment is an odd one. His ADP was actually 15+ spots HIGHER than where I took him. It was - in some ways - a reach. But w/o Jules, I obviously figured he would see an increased role - which he had before he got hurt. I dislike Snead - but w/o Cooks, it isn't an utterly insane pick. He wasn't the only person picking him in that range. You could nitpick every draft like this in hindsight btw.
  7. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Pre-Luck news. No one thought he was going to be out all year. Phil isn't the best. His draft was bad. But you can critique every draft somewhere.
  8. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nOZrsgKNVFfcsQQyKrLOXBhJ6y8MxFEEvKV7XGBMvoI/edit?usp=sharing
  9. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I like this idea too. I’d happily do that next year. Ill also happily split (170 and 60 right?). Play for bragging rights is perfectly fine to me.
  10. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I had very strong drafts in my two leagues. Landry/Thielen with great value. Bell was a monster. Zeke had great weeks. A few keys adds (ex. Watson), good trades (Hogan for Newton when Watson went down) and this squad was great. There really wasn't anything off. Good drafting, some health - and you have sustainability. Landry, Thielen, Bell, Zeke and Allen were all very consistent each week - so 120 was almost guaranteed. One of them going off is what contributed to 140 point weeks. You should be able to draft a team that scored 125 points on average. That is the target. They will score 110-120 more weeks - and the variance is when they score 140+. Either way - very consistent, very likely to win most weeks.
  11. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Do you mean going forward? Sure. Losing OBJ or David Johnson would have been crushing. There is absolutely a ton of luck in that regard. The closest thing I had this year was losing Zeke for 6 weeks. Having Alex Collins and McKinnon gave me a reasonable replacement - but absolutely agree. The thing with fantasy is - I think regular season dominance should be awarded. And sometimes you just don't get a fair crack at it because of injuries. When that happens - just try again the next year.
  12. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    They are sustainable for the season in question. Do you really think Kamara/Watson would have significantly regressed this year? Another example. Houston gives up 28 points to Paul Richardson then 35 points to TY Hilton. I decide to start Robert Woods the week he scores 38 because similar receivers put up big numbers with Houston. I hit the high end of Woods ceiling - but he still established himself as a consistent high floor/high ceiling player. 35 isn't sustainable - but 15 sure is. That wins leagues. You should be rewarded for navigating that stuff. Overall points (or points per week) do that. The big determining factor between 120 and 150 was if Zeke or Bell scored 35+. Those weeks my scores went towards 140 or 150. But the team was still consistent from start to finish. Guys have spikes - but that is fantasy. Top guys have more spike weeks. That is why you draft them highly. I am not sure what measurements you use to draft your teams - but I try and score as many points as possible.
  13. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    If there is something I've learned with yearly fantasy football - the points guys like Kamara score are not flukes. I am trying to win leagues. Kamara, Thompson and Watson were/are monsters. Watson would have regressed to the mean a bit - but he would have put up top 5 QB numbers had he not had an injury. Thompson would have finished top 10 had he not been hurt. Robert Woods is another example. Guy was not exciting in Buffalo - but you cannot ignore his numbers this year. I don't care about career averages, corrections the following year. I care about how many points you are going to score when I insert you into my lineup. But the injury happened while using the player. Rodgers had under a point that week, Cutler/Palmer had under 5. Those are 3 weeks of roughly 50-60 points that I lost out on. Still won first in points at the end of the day.
  14. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I won first in points in a far more competitive league (everyone pays attention) - with Zeke and ARod being injured/suspended. I also lost Watson. Heck, I lost Palmer AND Cutler the weeks they got hurt too. I had 3 weeks with a starting QB under 5 points due to injury. Whole year still balanced it all out.
  15. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Average points and overall points is literally the EXACT SAME thing. I am not changing my argument AT ALL. Overall points is your average points times 13. Literal like arguing - "I want to be evaluated on total points and not test average." More frequently highest weekly points is a far more illogical measurement. Now THAT starts to consider the effects of huge outliers. Now you are starting to value 165 over 160. Those small differences are washed out by evaluating overall average point output. Median is okay. I don't think the mean gets thrown off by much due to outliers in fantasy though - which is why I think mean is still fine. I had a week with my point total in the 70s. Still finished first in points (and by default - first in average points). The single outlier didn't really throw off my mean. 136.57 (average points per week) is still fairly typical of my point distribution. Not counting playoffs - my median was 138.90. So yeah, both central tendencies were fine.
  16. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    This is such a silly point. That gets equated over the entirety of the season. Average points per week is the most successful predictable of fantasy football performance. It isn't even a debatable point.
  17. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I meant overall points scored for players you decided to use lol. Not because you have three backup QBs lol. AVG points scored per week = most points (it is just that number times 13...)
  18. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    This truly makes no sense. That stuff gets equated over a larger sample size. Fuller scoring 25 in week 15 is variance. A few years back (2014) I had the another unreal squad. TY Hilton, Mike Evans, Jordy Nelson, Antonio Brown, Alfred Morris, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte, Walker and Big Ben. 5 1000 yard WRs (2 with 98+ receptions in PPR, Brown/Nelson with 13 TDs) 3 1000 yard RBs Forte with 100 receptions. The team was stacked. Went 6-7. Crushed first in points for the season and got my entry fee of $50 back. I didn't even make the playoffs due to variance. I'd score 140 every week but play vs the team that scored 155.
  19. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Wait. Drafting the most consistent team for the entire season is a measurement of luck and not skill? As opposed to two arbitrary matchups at the end of the year? Have you really not played in a league that awards first in overall points a prize?
  20. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I cast a vote for $20 (or entry fee in general) for first in points. I am obviously biased in this - but I think that is a good standard for the future too.
  21. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    11-2 and first in points in this league too. After a few deals I ended the year with... QB - Newton, Rodgers (IR) RB - Bell, Zeke, McKinnon, Collins, Morris WR - Landry, Evans, R. Anderson, R. Woods, S. Watkins TE - D. Walker K - Lutz D - Streaming
  22. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I might have been able to make the playoffs with two teams. The Hill, Landry, Thielen WR combo really worked out for Slick and propelled him to the playoffs. I really mismanaged those assets in retrospect. Cooks, DT and Hilton are all fine but - TY and adding those 3 would have been really incredible. Esp. with Kamara and McCoy. Oh well. I traded Thielen in both of my leagues once Case took over - assuming I was dealing at his high point. Drafting him round 7+ is one thing - but dealing him away is another.
  23. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I was waiting till the end not to jinx myself - but any chance the additional players added $ for most points? The only prize breakdown on here was with 10 players. Figured I'd ask. My other leagues all have it.
  24. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    Still floating McKinnon and Thompson.
  25. The Official 2017 DG Fantasy Football Thread

    I'll start there and offer up the chain. Idk what you're looking for. Ryan + Thompson type deal or no Ryan? Kamara + Fuller? Gotta give me a place to start - which I started.
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